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THE RETURN OF GOLD - by Mark O'Byrne

Population growth, political upheaval and economic development are
changing the world and setting the scene for a significant increase in
demand for precious metals.

Demographers predict that by mid-century, the number of people age 65 and
over will increase from 7% to more than 15% of the world's population. This
will be much higher in OECD countries. It is possible this demographic,
more wealthy than previous generations, could generate an increased demand
for real assets, in particular, for the traditional safe havens of gold and

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Poor Ben Bernanke. The greatest financial train wreck in history is going
to happen on his watch, and it will be mostly his predecessor's doing. But
not the work of Alan Greenspan alone. The Washington elite and their
compulsively clever counterparts around the world have set the US (and
global) economy up for a currency crisis of gargantuan proportions.

When? Soon.

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At present, there is a lot of noise about a "commodities bubble." The
majority of "experts" are convinced that commodity prices have risen too
much and they'll collapse.  On the other hand, stocks and bonds are being
touted as bargains - or as the foolproof road to riches and financial
freedom! These days, the mainstream media is awash with analysts who are
claiming that commodities will suffer due to rising interest rates.
Frankly, I find their argument totally absurd.  

History has shown that commodity prices are positively correlated to the
direction of interest rates. On the other hand, financial assets such as
stocks and bonds are negatively correlated to interest rates.

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THE U.S. CONSUMPTION BIAS - by Dr. Kurt Richebächer

In general, the high esteem of American policymakers and economists for
consumer spending as the motor of economic growth is attributed to the
influence of Keynes. In reality, it originates in the early 1920s, long
before Keynes, in America itself. American Keynesians later ascribed it to

This thinking originates in a bizarre episode involving leading American
economists. In the early 1920s, two until then completely unknown persons
began to write a whole series of books that all propagated the idea that
the capitalistic economy was chronically threatened by a lack of consumer
income and demand. Their names were William Trufant Foster and Waddill

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WHERE NEXT FOR OIL? - by Brian Durrant

The question everyone is asking in the markets is has the oil price
peaked? The best way to answer this question is to get a sense of
perspective by looking at the cyclical nature of the oil market.

During the Yom Kippur war in October 1973, the Arab oil producers
discovered that it had another weapon, an oil embargo. Arab oil ministers
agreed to cut production by 5% from the September 1973 level, and to keep
cutting by 5% in each succeeding month and also applied a total ban on oil
exports to the US and the Netherlands, countries friendly to Israel. The
oil price quadrupled.

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